Sunday, August 31, 2008

A ten game losing streak is looming

Having the struggling Jeff Karstens face off against CC Sabathia isn't exactly a perfect way to end a nine-game losing streak. CC didn't look all that great against the Pirates last week, but it shouldn't take much to shut-down the anemic offense that has the team, as per DK, taking full batting practice before a Sunday afternoon game. Bone Crusher Moss and Nate McLouth are the only left-handed hitters in the lineup today, which means that Chris Gomez is staring at first base, Jack Wilson is batting lead-off, and Jason Michaels is batting cleanup. Which means that John Russell is punting today.

Saturday, August 30, 2008

Game 135: Brewers 11 Pirates 3

I didn't see any of tonight's game and the score does not make me want to learn about it. What I did see tonight was Brad Eldred, now with Charlotte (the Chi Sox AAA affiliate). If you're curious, he hasn't changed one bit. On the mound is almost-Pirate Jeff Niemann, who struck out ten Knights in his 7+ tonight, though I maintain that two don't count because of this guy. Look at that swing. Those were the golden days.

Is eight enough?

I feel like if any pitching combination was going to end our eight-game losing streak, it'd be Paul Maholm vs. Jeff Suppan at PNC Park. When you're mired in an eight-game losing streak, you need more than a good pitching match-up, though. More than anything, you need some breaks and luck. We've been short on both lately and it's probably too late because now football's officially here to push us the Pirates into obscurity.

Game 134: Brewers 3 Pirates 1

Falling behind 3-0 after three batters is a sure way to alienate a ton of fans from watching the game. That was exactly what Tom Gorzelanny did last night, giving up a Rickie Weeks single, a walk to JJ Hardy, and an opposite field 3-run bomb to Ryan Braun that anyone who's watched Pirate baseball this year could've called. At that point, a pretty disastrous loss seemed like a certainty, but Gorzo buckled down nicely and only gave up two more hits and one more walk though his seven innings. As baby steps go, I think we can certainly count everything after Braun's home run as a fairly nice one for Gorzo.

The problem, again, was actually scoring runs to back Gorzo. Dave Bush shut down the offense, which hasn't been hard to do lately, limiting the Pirates only to a Nate McLouth fifth inning home run. We managed seven other hits, but since they didn't lead to any runs they don't really matter. Loss #8 in a row pulls us to within four losses of clinching a non-winning season and five of losing season number sixteen. It's almost here.

Friday, August 29, 2008

Gorzo and the Brewers

The avalanche that is August is going to close out with three games against the Brewers, who are coming off of a bad loss against St. Louis that's making the wild card race interesting. Tom Gorzelanny pitches tonight, which makes for at least one interesting Pirate-related plot-line as we get to pray for baby-steps from him much like we have been from Snell all year. I hope this works out better.

This is the worst thing I have ever read

While we're all fretting over the Pedro Alvarez situation, let us take a moment to remember that we now have a GM who was at least smart enough to draft Pedro. From today's PG:

Most teams contacted Boras to inquire about Wieters, but not the Pirates, who had the No. 4 overall pick. So, Boras, according to a source in his agency, phoned Dave Littlefield, the general manager at the time, to find out why. The team's response was that it did not view Wieters as a top-five talent, in part because of his throwing. Boras was incredulous that Wieters' throwing -- widely viewed as fine, anyway -- could be prioritized over his switch-hitting, power-hitting abilities, and the conversation soon ended.
... Wow.

Of course the "bad arm" thing was Littlefield's cover story for "I'd rather spend $6 million on Jeromy Burnitz than a freaking draft pick," but still. OK. Breath. No more living in the past. Littlefield's gone. The Alvarez situation sucks, but it only sucks because we actually had the guts to pick him and deal with Boras. Think positive.

Thursday, August 28, 2008

Links

DK lays out the options for the September 10th arbitration hearing between the MLBPA and the Commissioner's Office and how it will apply to Pedro Alvarez and the Pirates. It's long, but a very good read. It appears that the verdicts will be either: 1.) The signings hold, 2.) The signings won't hold and the Pirates and Alvarez (as well as anyone else that got an extension) gets to renegotiate, or 3.) Alvarez goes back into the draft. This is really interesting stuff, it just sucks that the Pirates are involved.

If you're a BP subscriber, make sure to check out Kevin Goldstein's take on the recent shenanigans. (Sidenote: can we refer to this incident as, "The Pedro Alvarez Shenanigans?" so long as we note that these shenanigans are tragic and sad, not cheeky and fun?)

I know there are a lot of comic geeks here, so it's imperative that you guys check out The Dugout's take on Watchmen.

The Brewers learned last night what Ian Snell and Oliver Perez already could've told them: angering Albert Pujols is a very, very bad idea.

Oh, there was a game yesterday. We lost. Jason Marquis dominated us again. Duke pitched pretty OK. Jesse Chavez made a nice debut.

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Another Boras/Alvarez update

Two new points to consider. From the PBC:

Scott Boras phoned from California to give this quote: "The Pirates violated Major League Baseball rules and have issued a nearly 600-word statement, made their actions look to be my fault. I think it's time for the Pirates and Mr. Coonelly to come clean with the fans of Pittsburgh and let everyone know about their dealings with Mr. Alvarez."
This from Baseball America:

Several sources have confirmed to Baseball America that MLB extended the signing deadline by as much as 45 minutes to allow Eric Hosmer (another Boras client) to reach a deal with the Royals that included a $6 million bonus.

Speculation in baseball circles was that Alvarez—who reached an agreement with the Pirates for a $6 million bonus—and Missouri righthander Aaron Crow—who could not come to terms with the Nationals—received similar extensions, though Baseball America has not been able to confirm that.

A bit of a picture is beginning to emerge and I think I can speculate a little further (and remember, without the real details that's all we're doing right now: speculating). There's at least a decent chance that the extensions from the Commissioner's Office won't hold up in front of a judge or arbitrator if the MLBPA wasn't asked about or didn't agree to them. There's no way Boras is pushing this issue if he doesn't have a leg to stand on. What I'm guessing that Boras wants is for the Pirates to renegotiate with Alvarez for any amount of money at all to avoid the prospect of having the contract voided by a judge or arbitrator. Even if it's only for $200,000, a precedent will be set for renegotiation after the signing deadline, and the deadline itself is rendered relatively useless. That's still what I think this is about and I don't think Boras would be doing it without some kind of real plan of attack.

UPDATE: In his chat at ESPN today, Jim Callis indicates he thinks this may be about Alvarez going over Boras to accept his contract. It very well may be, but I think this is going deeper than that, as indicated above.

Trying to sort out the Alvarez situation

It has been rightly pointed out to me that my "Pedro Alvarez will never play for the Pirates" statement below was a pretty bold and quick thing to say given the situation and the amount of things we actually know about this. So let's take some time to sort through this, piece by piece, and see if we can figure out what's going on and what might happen. If my reasoning is off from a legal basis, feel free to let me know.

What do we know right now? As far as I can tell, we know two things:

  1. The MLBPA has filed a grievance with the commissioner's office regarding the time at which Pedro Alvarez signed his deal with the Pirates, contending that it was after midnight.
  2. In light of this grievance, Scott Boras has asked the Pirates to renegotiate the deal they've made with Alvarez, presumably for more money.
  3. The Pirates have placed Alvarez on the restricted list and contended that they fairly signed Alvarez, that this grievance jeopardizes the Eric Hosmer deal (supposedly consummated after Alvarez's), and that Boras has no legs to stand on.
From those things, I think we can fairly infer the following:
  • Boras is behind the grievance.
  • The Pirates have no intention of renegotiating Alvarez's contract.
Things are obviously not this cut and dried. It seems incredibly unlikely that Boras's actual complaint is with the time the Pirates filed the deal. The deadline has neutered Boras's influence as it cuts down the negotiation time and forces college players like Alvarez to choose between money or college. In the past, they had the entire winter to haggle and could talk up to the night before the next draft. Boras hates the deadline because of the power it robs him of, and it looks to me like he's finding another way to flex his muscles.

The real question here is what legs Boras has to stand on. The Commissioner's Office approved of the verbal deal the Pirates and Alvarez made, so it seems unlikely to me that this intial grievance is going to stand unless there are literally time-stamped faxes or emails just lying around proving it to be wrong. If the grievance is upheld (which is possible because no contract has actually been signed and I just don't know how that will be interpreted), I can't imagine there's any room for renegotiation. It would seem to me that it would mean that Alvarez was signed to an illegal contract which would be voided and he'd go back into the draft pool with us getting the #3 pick next year.

For the sake of argument, let's assume that the Pirates/Alvarez contract is upheld by the arbitrator. At that point, Boras (assuming he's behind this) will have a couple of options. There are probably a couple of other grounds that he can question the verbal agreement on. "I accept," is a nice sentiment, but it's a pretty nebulous situation given that it was over the phone and Boras can probably argue that the Pirates' terms were misleading and Alvarez agreed to something different than what he thought he was accepting. He could also keep holding Alvarez out, requesting the Pirates to rework the bonus. As Greg Schuler pointed out in the comments, this is similar to the Luke Hochevar situation from a few years back. The Dodgers drafted Hochevar and negotiated with Boras. Hochevar fired Boras, hired another agent, agreed to a deal, then re-hired Boras the next day, reneged on the deal, and ended up going back in to the draft. This all may or may not be applicable because it happened before the deadline was instituted, but it's something that's certainly worth noting.

As far as I can tell, Alvarez is in a pretty gray area right now in that he verbally accepted his contract but hasn't signed it. I don't know what the official distinction is, but it seems like the Commissioner's Office seems to think of him as a member of the Pirates' organization while the MLBPA isn't so sure. If Alvarez continues his de facto holdout, the Pirates are in one hell of a bind. They can keep him on the restricted list, but then they don't reap any benefits of drafting him. Trading him is an insane proposition (there's no such thing as equal value for a prospect with almost no ceiling), but certainly less insane than releasing him. Given the way that Coonelly and Huntington operate, I would be shocked if they renegotiate the contract because doing so sets such an insanely dangerous precedent that I think they'd be blackballed from baseball if they tried it.

My guess is this: IF the arbitrator rules in favor of the Pirates and IF Alvarez and Boras continue the hold-out beyond that point, then the Pirates will try to argue that Alvarez voided the original deal before signing it and that they're entitled to the compensatory pick with Alvarez going back into the draft. There are a lot of things that can happen before then because it seems to me that it's in Pedro Alvarez's best interests to end this and get in to the Pirates' system and that there are lots of people that are going to tell him that.

The bottom line is this: Coonelly and Boras are both extremely smart guys that know their stuff inside and out. Boras wouldn't be pushing this if he thought he didn't have a crack to slip through and Coonelly excels at plugging those cracks. It's much harder to read Alvarez here, but I think he may partially be a kid caught up in something that's over his head who's listening to Boras because he doesn't know what else to do. If that's not true ... that's an entirely different story that the Pirates will be forced to deal with later. The truth is that it's almost impossible to predict how this situation is going to play out, because there are a ton of variables at play here and it's hard to know what all of them are. The fact that we're dealing with Boras and that he seems to have some kind of plan of attack in mind makes me very, very nervous about the chances of this being resolved in our favor, but I'm certainly happy Frank Coonelly is on our side for this one.

Pedro Alvarez to the restricted list

The MLBPA has contended that Pedro Alvarez agreed to his deal the midnight deadline and filed a grievance. The Pirates have requested for Alvarez to be placed on the restricted list, claiming that he refuses to report and Scott Boras is asking for more money. This is very, very, very bad news. I'm going to go invent swear words.

UPDATE: These types of situations are not my forte (if they are, please post in the comments), but here's my gut take on this: I'm almost certain that Coonelly is doing the right thing here, that the MLBPA grievance was filed at the behest of Boras, and that Boras and Alvarez have no case at all. I'm also almost certain that we will never see Pedro Alvarez in a Pirates' uniform. (edit: So this is probably an overreaction. Maybe. Keep on reading, please)

UPDATE AGAIN: DK's post (linked above) clarifies: the union is filing the grievance based on when Alvarez signed, which has lead Boras to ask for a "re-negotiation" of the terms. I'm guessing this has to do with the fact that that Alvarez didn't actually sign a contract and only verbally agreed, so I don't know how applicable the Hosmer situation is here because I don't know the details. If a grievance hasn't been filed on behalf of him, it's a good reason to think the situation is different

Here's what I'm guessing is happening: Boras was the driving force behind that grievance and he's using Alvarez as a pawn to make a point about the signing deadline. This is not going to be a short process. The signing deadline effectively cripples agents like Boras and he wants nothing to do with it. He's apparently willing to use Alvarez as a tool to destroy the deadline and he's going to go to any length he can to do it. Whether Alvarez is willing to play along is another story that we'll have to wait on, but the fact that it's gotten this far is pretty good evidence that he's complicit.

How does this end? I'm not a lawyer, nor am I familiar enough with the MLB labor agreement to say anything for sure, but I have some guesses. If the Pirates agreed with Alvarez late, we lose him. I'm pretty sure it's that easy and there's no room for renegotiation there. I don't think we did (but, I mean, how can I know that for sure?), which means it's coming to Boras's contention that Alvarez deserves more money. I have no idea what his basis for that is and how he can make that claim this far after the deadline, but he'll fight to the gates of hell for more money because he doesn't owe anything to the Pirates. Would he drop this charge if Alvarez asked him? Would Alvarez ask him? When does this need to be worked out by? Do the Pirates want a player in their system that's cause this much trouble? I have no idea what the answer to any of those questions are. But I don't like what I'm hearing so far today.

Afternoon game

One more brutal, awful, terrible game against the Cubs. At least it's on a 12:35 when I have other things to do. Blech.

It's not you it's ... wait, it's totally you

Dear Ian,

I used to think you were awesome because you took every single bad thing that ever happened to you personally. You never made excuses when you sucked, but you didn't really suck very often because you were driven by every single perceived slight to prove people wrong. Then I opened up today's paper and read this:

"They're not the best team in baseball for no reason. They adjust to you. I was throwing some good pitches, but they weren't swinging. But there's no excuse for giving away a three-run lead."
I think I'm going to cry. I'm done sticking up for you, I'm done making excuses for you, I'm done making fun of you, I'm just done. When you get home, your stuff will be in a bag on the stoop. Get out. If you ever get yourself back together, call me. If not, have a nice life attempting to approximate Kip Wells' career arc.

-Pat

Game 132: Cubs 14 Pirates 9

Giving up 9 runs and losing? That sucks.

A four inning start from Snell with four walks, two strikeouts and five earned runs? That sucks.

Blowing a 3-0 and 8-7 lead? That sucks.

Seven runs from Craig Hansen and Sean Burnett in an innng? That sucks.

Seven RBIs fro Geovany Soto? That sucks.

What I'm trying to say is that this loss was a major bummer. Really. I can't even think of how to qualify it beyond, "that sucks." I'm not even going to try.

Tuesday, August 26, 2008

Can we be competitive?

Carlos Zambrano and Ian Snell. Snell looked dominant last time out, but it wasn't against the Cubs. The Cubs are clicking on so many cylinders that Fukudome killed us last night. Nyjer Morgan starts again in center. Doug Mientkiewicz is starting at third base.

**SCREAMS**

I told you I'd do it.

Links and stuff

Pedro Alvarez and Scott Boras are playing hard to get. Who would've guessed? Nothing to worry about here. He's still a Pirate.

Charlie's sick of Nyjer Morgan being treated and talked about like a prospect.

Tecmo from PSAMP scores the Bob Smizik interview. They talk about blogs and the Rocco DeMaro incident, among other things.

One thought for you this morning: I understand it's hard to watch our best players get traded away and the new guys struggle, but Andy LaRoche has played 18 games as a Pirate and made 67 plate appearances. Writing a player or a trade off as a failure after such a small sample size, especially when the trade was made looking towards the future, is just foolish. And if Doug Mientkiewicz starts getting at-bats at third base, I'm going to scream.

Game 131: Cubs 12 Pirates 3

This whole game was kind of like a series of snowballs being pushed down a mountain. Jeff Karstens started off well enough by setting down three hitters in a row after Alfonso Soriano's lead-off single. In the second, he let in a run on a sac fly. In the third, he gave up four runs. At that point, he batted, then was removed from the game in the fourth. Jason Davis came in to prepare the second snowball for its run down the mountain. He put down the Cubs 1-2-3 in the fourth, then gave up a five-spot in the fifth and things were over from there.

Not much else to say about this one. I'm not going to harp on Karstens getting progressively worse with each outing since his near-no-no. Plus, the Cubs are really freaking good. Jason Davis, however, has me a bit worried. He looked pretty good in his early outings from the pen and in the rotation, but his peripherals were pretty bad. Recently, he's just looked pretty bad. Time for Evan Meek and Ross Ohlendorf?

Oh, and we got this guy for Bautista. He's a pretty uninteresting backup catcher that the reports kind of make me think of Jason Kendall post thumb injury (high batting average, decent defense, no power at all). Still, Bautista was a fairly uninteresting backup infielder at this point in his career. Getting worked up over and underwhelming return seems stupid if you consider this to be one piece of a puzzle that might allow a trade of, say, Ronny Paulino. No trade should be viewed in a vacuum.

Monday, August 25, 2008

The Cubs again

The reeling Pirates continue the awesome scheduling draw of NL Central leaders as they play the Cubs at PNC tonight after their weekend sweep at the hand of the Brewers. Jeff Karstens and Ted Lilly take the mound tonight as the Pirates try to do things like "score runs" and "win."

Frustration

Watching the team flounder around since the trade deadline has certainly been frustrating, even if you like the trades the team made. How do you quantify how frustrating things have been? Even John Russell is admitting it:

"It gets frustrating, no doubt," he said. "But we as a staff can't get lost in the frustration. We knew what we were getting into."

So did general manager Neal Huntington.

"The general manager wants to win, I know that," Russell said. "And we're going to do it. It's going to be fun in Pittsburgh for a long time. We have to have that vision. And we have to stay with the process."

John Russell saying, "It gets frustrating," is like a less stoic person saying, "I am so g$#@)%) m$%*$#$#^* pissed that I want to shoot something."

Game 130: Brewers 4 Pirates 3

There are a lot of things about this game that are pretty nagging The third straight loss to the Brewers stings. Scoring 3 runs off of 16 hits, even if 15 were singles, is pretty lame. Not scoring with the bases loaded and nobody out in the top of the 12th just flat out sucks. Missing a chance to ding CC with his first NL loss is pretty lame. The ejections were certainly annoying. Still, as a science nerd I think that the thing that bugs me the most is this quote from Nate McLouth:

Speaking of McLouth, who's been KO'd by a stomach virus, he had a pinch-hit single that tied the game in the ninth inning. Did that make him feel better?

"No,'' McLouth said. "There are no antibiotics in my bat.''

Anyone who's taken a biology class knows that if there were antibiotics in Nate's bat, he'd still feel like crap because he has a virus, not a bacteria-based illness.

Sunday, August 24, 2008

Why's he calling me meat? I'm the one driving a Porsche.

As I mentioned a couple of times here, I made the trek out to Durham last night to watch the Indianapolis Indians in the first game of their four-game set against the Bulls. I would've liked to see Ohlendorf pitch, but I think the rest of the series will be televised and hopefully I can catch him when he makes his start. Getting to see David Price pitch for the Rays was a nice consolation, even if he wasn't that impressive (FanHouse post). Anyways, I took a some pictures and have some anecdotes to share, so let's get to it.
The aforementioned Price. As you can see, I watched him warm up and it's easy to see the potential, even though he didn't pitch all that well last night.

Yep. That's Chris Duffy. Still doing what he does: slapping singles, running fast, and not doing much of anything else.

This is not a very good shot of Cutch, but it does give you an idea of just how small he is. He's not just small, he's actually almost Ecksteinian. Still, he's got a very nice swing. It's very short and quick and kind of reminds me of Craig Wilson's in those aspects. In his five at-bats he had two ugly strikeouts against Price, but nearly took him deep in the first with a sharply hit flyout to the warning track. Later in the game he hit a very hard grounder that went right to the third baseman and then hit a similar ball between third and short that got past the drawn-in infield. Like Price, it was easy to see why he's such a good prospect, even if he didn't have a great game.

One of the best parts about minor league baseball is seeing what old players are still hanging around the game in some capacity. I wore my WHYGAVS shirt and while no one recognized the WHYGAVS aspect of it, I had four people comment on the Andy Van Slyke quote on the back. Two of them grew up in Pittsburgh. There was also a light smattering of Pirate hats and Penguins gear. But there's no real Pirate fans anywere, or anything.

Some serious cloud cover meant that it got dark pretty quick last night and made it tough to get good pictures. That's too bad because if it hadn't you'd be able to see that Ronny Ballgame still wears his Pirates catcher's mask. My friend asked how we were keeping a guy hitting .330 with a slugging percentage around .600 in the minor leagues, so I explained to him the legend of Ronny Ballgame. Late in last night's game, the Indians had runners on first and third. Luis Cruz broke for second and already being down a few runs, the Bulls catcher just stood up. Then he looked at third base and saw Ronny Ballgame standing like 30 feet off the base. He was quickly engaged in a run-down and tagged out.

The Indians bullpen is the stuff of nightmares. Wreck Specs, ¡Romulo!, Juan Perez, and Marino Salas all inhabit it, managing to give me heartburn at a minor league game. Salas was particularly awful last night, loading up the bases with one out, walking a run in, and getting a break when the umpire ruled that a pitch that clearly hit Mike DeFelice also hit the knob of the bat and was a foul ball.

The Indians' bullpen wasn't all bad, though. I'm not even exaggerating a little bit when I say that the most impressive player on either team last night was Evan Meek. He worked two quick and perfect innings to get the save in Indy's 6-3 win. He mixed a 94-96 mph fastball that he could place at will with some nasty off-speed stuff that repeatedly froze Durham's hitters. In his two innings, he struck out three and got two guys to hit swinging bunts in front of the plate that he easily fielded. He looks just like Matt Capps on the mound and it's really hard to imagine that he's the same guy that bombed out for us earlier in the year, because he looks like he'd be one of the best relievers in our bullpen right now if the Pirates called him up.

And Luis Cruz hit a home run off of the grass. That was awesome, even if no one cheered but me.

The pitching matchup

CC Sabathia has dominated the National League since his arrival in July, but this is the Pirates' first look at him. They'll counter will Paul Maholm to hopefully shut down the Brewers' powerful bats enough to keep the Pirates in the game. I have a bunch of pictures from Durham last night that I'll hopefully have posted some time this afternoon.

Saturday, August 23, 2008

Gorzo's return

Despite the game not being televised in Pittsburgh tonight, Tom Gorzelanny is in fact making his return to the Pirates rotation. It's hard to ask for him to have pitched better in AAA than he did with Indianapolis (33 strikouts, 4 walks, 28 hits, 2.06 ERA in 36 inning and 7 starts), so hopefully he's worked out whatever issues he had earlier in the year and can give us a strong finish. He goes against Jeff Suppan tonight and if you're dialing the radio in (or flipping on the TV if you're out of town) this is one of those funny 7 PM starts in the Central Time Zone.

I'm heading to Durham tonight to watch Indianapolis as they roll into town against the Bulls. I had hoped to see Dan McCutchen, but he turned in a nice start last night against Charlotte. Instead, I guess I'll have to settle for David Price starting for the Bulls and get my first look at Andrew McCutchen in person.

Roster moves

It seems pretty rare to me for a giant flurry of roster moves to come this close to September 1st, but I guess circumstances dictate it. So far Doug Mientkiewicz has replaced Steve Pearce in his return from the bereavement list. I know the team is explaining it by saying they want Nyjer to play center with McLouth out, but I don't really care. Pearce should play over Michaels in the outfield every day of the week at this stage in their careers. It's a curious move because it really flies in the face of what Huntington's been doing the past couple weeks. Huntington clearly doesn't think highly of Pearce at all.

Beyond that move, ¡Romulo! was sent down earlier today to make room for Matt Capps' return from the disabled list tonight, but someone else has to go down for Tom Gorzelanny to make his start tonight. My gut feeling is that the second demotee is going to be Jason Davis, but he hasn't really pitched terribly besides his last start and Huntington seems to like the guy so he may stick around. That would leave Duke, but I think if the Pirates were planning on demoting him this year they would've done that by now. It seems more likely to me that Davis will go down today and come back in a week when the rosters expand. Duke will probably lose his spot in the rotation when Ohlendorf comes up at the same time, but demoting him would be pretty surprising.

UPDATE: It's Beam that's going down, while Davis moves to the pen (as per the updated Paul Meyer link above).

Game 128: Brewers 10 Pirates 4

When Denny Bautista pitches for the Pirates and mows people down, have you ever watched him and wondered why the Tigers gave him away for next to nothing? He imploded last night and combined with Sean Burnett for a sixth run seventh inning that turned what was a close game into a blowout. On the other hand, Brandon Moss homered. That was nice.

Friday, August 22, 2008

Roster moves and the Brewers

I was right with my guess about Tom Gorzelanny yesterday, except that he's starting tomorrow night and not today. That pushes the rotation back a slot and ruins the Paul Maholm/CC Sabathia pitching matchup that was awesomely looming on Sunday. Doug Mientkiewicz is also off the bereavement list and back with the team, who sent Steve Pearce to AAA to make room. I get that the team isn't high on Pearce and that he's struggled a bit this year, but keeping Mientkiewicz, Rivas, and Michaels all on the roster when none of them have any reason to be playing ahead of the 25-year-old Pearce just kind of baffles me. None of those guys have a future with the Pirates. Pearce may not either, but he might, and that should be enough to get him at-bats at the end of this lost season.

Anyways, tonight's game is Zach Duke and Dave Bush at 8:05. The Brewers have already won more games than the Pirates likely will for the rest of the year.

WHYGAVS Interviews Rocco DeMaro, Part 2

Today I'm happy to bring you the second part of my interview with WPGB's Rocco DeMaro (if you missed part 1, you can find it here). Today we discuss the future of the Pirates, his show, and some of the players. Enjoy.

WHYGAVS:
What do you think of the last three weeks for Huntington, Coonelly, and company? At this point, opinion seems to be kind of split as to whether or not the trades got the ball rolling in the right direction and whether the $9 million spent on draft picks is a sign that the ownership has turned over a new leaf.

RD: Well, in a general sense, I don't see how the new management group's first year on the job can be considered anything but an unqualified success. I mean, after the previous administration, Lindsay Lohan and that orange monster from the Bugs Bunny cartoons could have probably taken over and fared better than Kevin and Dave did. The bar was set...um...low.

We won't know for a while whether or not Andy LaRoche, Brandon Moss, Bryan Morris, Craig Hansen, Jose Tabata, Ross Ohlendorf, Dan McCutchen and Jeff Karstens will be the players some expect them to be. I had to pawn my crystal ball a while ago, so I can't look into the future and tell you definitively what's going to happen.

Personally, I'm a BIG fan of Tabata, LaRoche and Ohlendorf...but that's based on some minor league success and projection. I can tell you this much--those players...at least some of them...HAVE to pan out if the team is going to turn in a winning season in the near future.

The draft this year was a great sign that ownership, at the very least, is finally allocating its dollars in the right place. And that's because ownership has finally put a competent management team. Will ownership continue to pour money into the draft/Latin/developmental side of things? I sure hope so. Considering Mr. Nutting has done nothing but take positive steps since he took over as Chairman last January, I see no logical reason to assume he won't continue to do so. Call me naive, but I genuinely think the guy is tired of losing.

This off-season, I fully expect the Pirates to do some of the forward thinking things that other successful small and mid-market teams have done in recent years--like locking up some of their more valuable pieces (Maholm, McClouth, Doumit) through their arbitration years and potentially into their free agency years. I also expect the Pirates to be aggressive in bringing in the best scouting talent there is to be had this fall.

If these things do happen, it'll be even more evidence that this franchise is finally interested in competing...a reality that wouldn't be possible without the backing of ownership.

WHYGAVS: In general, what's it like doing a show like yours for a team as bad as the Pirates. I guess your background is kind of applicable here. Are you from the area? Or is this show your introduction to the Pirates?

RD: I was born and raised in Pittsburgh...so it's safe to say I'm a local. As such, I've been interested in the Pittsburgh Pirates for the duration of my time on Planet Earth. Steelers and Pens, too, by the way. But I've always had a special place in my heart for the Bucs and baseball in general.

Doing a post-game show for a bad team, in my mind, is no different than doing a show for a good team. I react to what's happening, both on the field and in general. That the team hasn't won for nearly 16 years is certainly a story, but it doesn't make my job any easier or more difficult. My job description, as I see it, is to dominate the airwaves on a nightly basis for 6 months straight...regardless of the team's success or failure.

Would I have a larger audience if the Pirates were contenders? Of course. But my audience size has nothing to do with the prep I do, the analysis I do, the entertainment I try to bring to the show or the level of dedication I'm obligated to put forth in order to make the show as good as I can possibly make it.

WHYGAVS: How tough is it doing a stats-based show on the Pirates' flagship station? Obviously a lot of people don't want anything to do with that, especially in a general audience.

RD: Well, if I didn't discuss the statistical side of things, I wouldn't be doing my job. Baseball, more than any other sport, is driven by numbers...both in a predictive sense and a reactive sense. That SO MANY media outlets bypass true performance analysis for easier to digest generalities (and, usually, misconceptions) has always been a frustration for me. It's all about homework, really. It's about being willing to put the work in to truly understand how the game works.

I mean, how can one purport to cover or be knowledgeable about an industry without doing the required homework? In what other field would such a lack of professionalism be so widely accepted? It baffles me that baseball, despite all the irrefutable data that is out there, is still discussed today as if we were in the Stone Age...with people making value judgments based on archaic data and out-moded models. To me, covering baseball without at least a little background in the statistical side of things, is tantamount to fraud.

WHYGAVS: What role do blogs play in preparing for your show? (Editors note: I am required by the Super Secret Sports Blogger Code of Ethics to ask this question. I've said too much already ...)

RD: Blogs are becoming a bigger and bigger part of my prep. Admittedly, the majority of the work I do on the 'net is still centered around mainstream sites and industry-specific sites. But there are some people out there in the blogosphere that are doing some really good work ... REALLY good work. I'm a HUGE fan of new media and I'm psyched to see what the next few years will bring us in terms of a potential paradigm shift in the way we consume our information, the sources of information that we come to trust as credible ... especially in the wake of the nearly libelous character assassination done by the aforementioned local newspaper.

WHYGAVS: Does Luis Rivas know you worship him?

RD: The Great and Powerful Luis Rivas, a.k.a., Rivas of Nazareth, to my knowledge, has no idea of his cult of Rivastic followers. Even if He did, His Divine Benevolence would surely keep such things to himself, as he is nothing if not a humble minor diety/demi-God.

WHYGAVS: How does Adam LaRoche feel about "The Best ... AROUND!"?

RD: I've personally asked Adam about 'The Best Around' on the air (after game 70 on 6/15, the archives of Rocco's shows are here) and his response was one of the highlights of my season. He used that Karate Kid song as his AB music on a DARE from then Dodgers prospect Andy LaRoche. Listen for yourself. Just hilarious.

And as a bonus, I asked Andy LaRoche about the same thing, which led to lead to, somehow, an even funnier interview (game 121, 8/13 ... same link as above). Again, listen for yourself. There are also some references to Adam putting the younger LaRoche in a pair of goggles and pelting him with BBs when they were growing up. Yeah.

WHYGAVS: Ian Snell is the most intense human being alive ... confirm or deny.

RD: Ian is certainly intense--having played some pickup basketball with him over the winter I can attest to as much--but nobody out-intense's Doug Mientkiewicz. Nobody. The man makes Jack Bauer seem like Bob Ross. Van Dyke Brown!!

WHYGAVS: Has John Russell ever expressed human emotion to you?

RD: I love John Russell. He's down to earth, somewhat sedate, and the man is a VERY GOOD manager. He has a great temperment...if only because that's who he is. The players respect the crap out of him, and that's all that matters in my mind. He's a great motivator, and he gets the most out of his players. You can't ask for much more out of a field manager...not to mention he's quietly using some sound sabermetric principals in his management these days, even if he does throw in the odd sac bunt when maybe he shouldn't. Love me some JR.

And with that, Rocco rode off into the darkness with Rick Astley blaring in the background. Or, you know, I ran out of questions and thanked him for his time. So again, a big WHYGAVS thank you to Rocco DeMaro for agreeing to do this.

Thursday, August 21, 2008

WHYGAVS Interviews Rocco DeMaro, Part 1

It is my pleasure to bring to you today the first interview in WHYGAVS history that did not take place with my dad or in my head. Over the past two days I've had an e-mail conversation with the host of WPGB's Extra Innings show. The result is a long, funny, and honest conversation on a wide range of topics including the Pirates, his show, and yes, THAT article. It's incredibly long, so I've broken it into two parts, with the second running tomorrow morning. Enjoy.

WHYGAVS: You're known as the radio host that likes to Rick-Roll your listeners, but you've recently had some pretty big scoops. You called Robbie Grossman's eventual signing back in July when most people thought it looked doubtful and had the news on Quinton Miller the night of August 14th, several hours before the news appeared in any of the papers. I know you can't name names, but can you tell us anything about that? Or just the general transition from pure talk show host to breaking some of your own news?

Rocco DeMaro: Wait a minute--I'm known as the Rick-Roll guy? Really? [Note to self--I've got to get a better calling card...]

WHYGAVS: Would you prefer if I used, "the only radio host that can describe Jamie Romak as a three true-outcomes hitter and know what it means?"

RD: Well, whatever floats your boat, I suppose. And how about young-ish Romak!! He has utter disdain for involving the defense in the ballgame. The man wants to make his own way, one way or the other! Something to be said for that.

But back to your initial question -- the same way everyone gets information ... by befriending certain people, using them for their information and allowing them to use you for your information. And just to clarify -- my show isn't somehow transitioning into a news-making outlet from a strict talk show. I'm going to continue to do what I do best and that's to both entertain my audience and analyze the Pittsburgh Pirates. But we've certainly broken some stories on Extra Innings and my weekend show prior to the signing period ... they just never got reported as such.

Here are a couple examples: Frank Coonelly broke the silence on the Alvarez negotiations on Extra Innings--a big deal as both sides had been silent to that point. We also had Neal Huntington on my weekend show this spring (Weekend Sportsline with Rocco DeMaro, Saturdays 2-4 P.m. ET) break Ryan Doumit's emerging role in 2008. "We're going to commit to Ryan Doumit," he said. Neal went on to say that Doumit would get 'significant' at bats in 2008...this was newsworthy as Ronnie Paulino was still seen as the defacto starter at the time. No other media outlet had that for another week or two. But if no one is paying attention to the news being made on our shows, nothing gets attributed. A tree in the woods, I suppose.

So though my work certainly isn't predicated on breaking news or emulating the work of the fine beat writers in Pittsburgh, we've done our part, including the aforementioned Grossman and Miller signings -- two HUGE stories in my mind as they, along with Freeman (and the other obvious scoop that we've danced around to this point) define the commitment ownership has made in 2008, and ultimately, define the 2008 season for the Bucs.

WHYGAVS: So then let's talk about that other scoop. You reported on your show around 10:30 the night of the draft pick signing deadline that Pedro Alvarez WOULD sign before midnight. That report was quickly refuted by the local media that night, again the next morning, and three days later a local columnist did everything but call you a liar in print for your reports on the Alvarez deal. Can you tell us anything about the Alvarez signing? How do you respond when people put you on blast like that?

RD: Man, the most frustrating thing about this whole thing was that I obviously made some mistakes on some things I absolutely could have controlled ... and as someone who tries VERY hard on a nightly basis to put forth as good a show as I can ... and to be correct as often as possible (hence my love for performance analysis) ... those simple mistakes bother me even more than the baseless newspaper attacks that came following the show.

Some simple grammatical errors, taken out of context, apparently led to confusion as to what I was reporting on the night of the Alvarez scoop. At least once, I suggested that the deal was 'Done' ... when in fact, anyone listening to the broadcast (as you alluded to in your question) understood that was NOT my information. I repeated TIME AND TIME again than my information was that the deal was absolutely going to happen, that it was as good as done, and it would happen in the minutes just prior to midnight.

As a result, A local newspaper cherry-picked, half-truthed and sophism-ed its way through those quotes and decided to deliver an attack on my credibility motivated, it seems, by getting scooped on Grossman, Miller and ultimately Alvarez.

A fellow blog -- Pittsburgh Lumber Co. -- went back and listened to the podcast -- imagine that!! -- of that show and gave a very fair blow-by-blow account of both the broadcast and the resulting hit job done by the newspaper in question.

I also received some bad information on Tanner Scheppers about an hour or so into the show that I quickly retracted. The bad info was there for all of 5 minutes before I got two texts from two different sources informing me that my info was bad. Minutes later, I retracted the initial report. The Scheppers thing was there and gone in the span of 20 minutes over the course of a 3-hour show. You show me a media guy that hasn't gone with bad information and I'll show you a media guy that isn't trying. It happens to EVERYBODY.

Otherwise everything...from the Grossman scoop on July 24th to the Miller scoop on 8/14 to the info on Pedro was ON POINT. Period.

Editor's Note: You can find the archives of Rocco's shows here. The main show in question is from August 15th and it's broken into two parts. Podcasts are available for both the 8/14 and 7/24 show.

WHYGAVS: Were you contacted at all by the newspaper before the column went up on Monday?

RD: No.

WHYGAVS: And you stand by your report on the radio from the night of the deadline and your sources?

RD: Absolutely.

Part two, which I promise is much funnier and less serious, is coming tomorrow.

Farewell to the worst nickname ever

Apparently the Blue Jays have acquired Jose Bautista from us for a player to be named later. I don't know a whole lot about it, but it seems like the organization must be pretty frustrated with him. He is a fairly useful utility player, despite his disappointing tenure as a Pirate, and we finally have the players in place to use him as such. Apparently, Neal Huntington disagrees.

Updated to add idle speculation:
With the day for call-ups approaching, is it possible this move was made to clear a roster spot? The answer is: I don't know. But it's something to think about.

Via MLB Trade Rumors

I think Tom Gorzelanny is getting called up

With the Indianapolis Indians coming to Durham from this Saturday through next Tuesday, I went on their site earlier this morning to check the pitching schedule and try and figure out which game I want to see. Tom Gorzelanny was listed as tonight's starter, which made sense checking the rotation in that it's been four games (and four days) since Gorzo last started. I went back this afternoon and now Mike Thompson, who's worked mostly as a reliever lately, is listed as starting tonight against Charlotte. Is Zach Duke going to make his scheduled start tomorrow night? Suddenly, I'm not so sure I'd count on it.

Full speed ahead to the playoffs

You might not realize this, but the Astros are involved in a playoff push. While the Pirates and Reds have spent the last month trying to restock for the future, Ed Wade has added LaTroy Hawkins and Randy Wolf in his unlikely push to catch Milwaukee for the wild card, further depleting the shambles that were once known as a minor league system. Today, he's come up with another coup; he's claimed Jose Castillo off of waivers.

"We just felt that at this point with (Ty) Wigginton playing a lot of outfield and (Kazuo) Matsui down — if we had a chance to get this guy he'd give us another experienced infielder — and it gives (Cecil Cooper) a lot more flexibility," general manager Ed Wade.

[...]

Wade remembered the raves Castillo would get from former Pittsburgh Pirates manager Chuck Tanner, who was scouting out of the Pittsburgh area when Castillo played for the Pirates from 2004 through 2007.

"When you look at it, he's 27 and he could do more than just serving a reserve role for us at the end of the season," Wade said. "He's got a chance to help us going forward as well, so it made sense."

Don't quotes like that bring back awful memories? Aren't you happy to have a GM that doesn't make a career out of saying those kinds of things? Do they REALLY think Jose Castillo will help them going forward?

Game 127: Cardinals 11 Pirates 2

To summarize: Jason Davis was not very good. He was more Van Benschotian than anything with his 9-hit, 8-run, 3-walk in 3 and 2/3 innings line. This game was so boring that I switched away from it to watch Usain Bolt run the 200 meter dash in the Olympics despite the fact that I knew he won and set the world record and had already watched the video of it on the internet this afternoon. That's pretty bad. But hey, Ryan Doumit homered!

Wednesday, August 20, 2008

Moss is back

Looks like Brandon Moss is back in the lineup tonight, which is good news given that when he went down over the weekend, Greg Brown sounded ready to organize a funeral for him right then and there. Nyjer Morgan and Jason Michaels get the start over Steve Pearce tonight against Todd Wellemeyer, while Jason Davis is getting another start and presumably pitching for a spot in the rotation with Ross Ohelndorf and Tom Gorzelanny knocking down the door in Indianapolis. Davis has looked good in a couple starts so far, but the peripherals aren't fantastic and his track record is pretty bad. Still, given the way things have gone this year and the other guys in the rotation (Zach Duke), it'd be awfully hard to pull him given the results from his first two starts.

This is not rocket science

Seems like a pretty popular topic for debate all over the place recently is the slumping of Ryan Doumit and Nate McLouth. Since they're two of three best hitters left on the team (yes, I'm including Adam LaRoche), their slumping has a lot to do with the recent dearth of offense we've seen from the Pirates. They needed to step up in the absence of Bay and Nady and they really haven't. We all knew the schedule in August was going to be brutal and we've certainly faced a tough stretch of pitchers, but I think that the answer is a little easier.

Ryan Doumit 2006: 235 total plate appearances, 21 total games caught
Ryan Doumit 2007: 258 total plate appearances, 41 total games caught
Ryan Doumit 2008: 354 total plate appearances, 81 total games caught

Nate McLouth 2006:
297 plate appearances
Nate McLouth 2007: 382 plate appearances
Nate McLouth 2008: 549 plate appearances

If you spend two seasons as a bit player, suddenly playing every day is something that's going to wear you down. Both Doumit and McLouth have already shattered their recent plate appearance figures. Doumit's doing it at the physically demanding position of catcher, which is a position he's spent very little time at since 2005. I would love to see both of these guys catch a second wind and finish the season strong, but if it doesn't happen it's not going to be the end of the world.

Game 126: Pirates 4 Cardinals 1

What I wrote prior to the game: Snell's last start was pretty bad and I've pretty much resigned myself to the fact that he needs the winter to find whatever it was that worked for him last year and isn't working this year.

What Ian Snell did today: 7 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 8 K

For one night at least, Snell was fantastically dominant again as he kept the Cardinals flailing all night by putting his fastball where he wanted it and ramping it up to 96 at times, according to the TV gun. Braden Looper held the Pirates in check for most of the game until the Pirates scored some ugly runs in the ninth on some bad baseball by the Cardinals, but Snell was definitely the story in this one tonight. I'll take any sign that I can get that Snell's dominant stretch between the second half of 2006 and the first half of 2007 wasn't an illusion.

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

On to St. Louis

The Pirates role in to St. Louis for the typical 8 PM Central Time Zone start. Ian Snell and Braden Looper get the starts in a rematch of last year's home opener at PNC. Snell's last start was pretty bad and I've pretty much resigned myself to the fact that he needs the winter to find whatever it was that worked for him last year and isn't working this year. Nyjer Morgan is up with the Pirates and starting in center and batting leadoff. Hooray awful memories!

The reality post

Before the gamethread goes up tonight, I think we need one of those "Baseball players are people, too," posts. Nyjer Morgan is with the team in St. Louis tonight because Doug Mientkiewicz is in Pittsburgh with his recovering wife, who had a pacemaker installed in her heart yesterday. She's doing well, which is great news. Hopefully her recovery will be a quick one.

The rest of the team is in St. Louis where they got the news of John Challis's death this afternoon. That's sobering news for anybody who listened to the inspirational teen talk in the past few months, but it's hit the Pirate clubhouse pretty hard. As you may remember, Challis visited with the team in June and met everyone in the clubhouse before one of the Yankees games. Adam LaRoche developed a pretty close connection with Challis, keeping in touch with him well after the visit. He had this to say:

"It's depressing, man. It makes you realize how short life is and how unfair it can be. I think what's cool is that, even with what he had, he chose to make the best of it and touch a lot of lives that he wouldn't have if this hadn't happened to him. He got the bad end of the deal, but he touched a lot of people. For sure, he touched the 25 people in here."
It's frustrating to watch baseball players, who get paid sums of money most of us will never see, struggle and it's easy for us to take it personally. That makes it easy to overlook the fact that Adam LaRoche is really a class act, whether he hits well in April or not. I'm not suggesting that ignore his flaws as a player (if we did that for everyone, I'd have nothing to talk about on this blog); I just think it might not be a bad idea to stop calling him "LaDouche."

New Poll

The new poll question is "Now that the signing deadline has passed, what do you think of the draft?" Vote in the sidebar, talk in the comments, if you like. Neal Huntington's grades from the trade deadline are:

  • A- 20% (114 votes)
  • B- 56% (308)
  • C- 12% (71)
  • D- 3% (20)
  • F- 6% (35)
Even Jerry Crasnick knows that WHYGAVS readers like the trades.

Hope's just a word

While perusing DK's morning links today, I happened upon this post at Bucs Trade Winds making the argument that Pedro Alvarez was a PR move by the Pirates. It struck me that this is a pretty popular sentiment among the fans, specifically this part right here:

Nutting is a shrewd businessman. He knows his product isn't going to sell in it's current form. He knows nearly every fan blames him and his family for the trials this franchise has endured since their ownership group took control in the 90's.

A mere $6 million investment has put blinders on a majority of the fan base, for at least the short term.

One small investment has restored his public image.
Now, far be it from me to criticize anybody for being cynical or negative about the Pirates. At various points in the life of this blog I've been called "Captain Negative," "Way to cynical for a 23-year-old," "Eeyore," and a number of similar other things. A friend of mine at Duquesne used to call me "Charlie Brown" because of my generally sunny disposition.

In fact, a lot of fans are having trouble getting excited about any of these moves the Pirates have made because of their track record. I understand that. In the past sixteen years, we've been built up and let down again and again and again. At some point, it's not just hard to see the light at the end of the tunnel; it's hard to know if the tunnel is a tunnel or a coffin. For some people, there's not going to be any convincing that things have changed until the Pirates win and I understand that. In the first three years of this blog I've considered giving it up numerous times because it seemed pointless to dedicate so much time and energy to a dead end team. The past six months, however, have been different and there's more to it than just Pedro Alvarez.

In January of 2007, Bob Nutting assumed the role of primary owner from Kevin McClatchy. Like most Pirate fans, I scoffed at the move with the assumption that Nutting had previously been the Emperor to McClatchy's Darth Vader. He and his family had assumed primary control of the team several years before and it seemed foolish to think they weren't already in control. The funny thing about this move, though, is that shortly after it things started happening. Nutting grabbed the idea that the Pirates' Latin American scouting had been a joke by the balls, flew to the Dominican republic, and eventually decided to sink several million dollars into a new facility to bolster scouting in the area. It's something the Pirates had needed to do for years, but never happened until Nutting made it happen.

About halfway into 2007, Kevin McClatchy announced his resignation as the team's CEO. You can blame his failings on the Nutting family's tight grasp of the purse strings if you like, but no one made him keep Cam Bonifay on the job until 2001 and no one made him give Dave Littlefield a seven year trial period. Despite any limitations he might've had, it's hard to argue that McClatchy was anything but a bad baseball guy. Following McClatchy out the door was Dave Littlefield, a GM so bad that even now, a year after the fact, knowledgeable baseball people are saying to me "Damn, it's hard to believe how bad Dave Littlefield was at his job." From there, Nutting went out and talked to knowledgeable baseball people, letting them guide his hires. He replaced McClatchy and Littlefield with Coonelly and Huntington.

In their year or so on the job, Coonelly and Huntington have managed to take a bad team with a farm system that was almost completely void of prospects and add Bryan Morris, Andy Laroche, Jose Tabata, and Pedro Alvarez in to the top of the prospect list, as well as guys like the Yankee trio, Brandon Moss, and Craig Hansen to give the team some depth and options beyond players like John Van Benschoten, Yoslan Herrera, and Chris Duffy. From this year's draft they added not just Alvarez, but Robby Grossman, Wesley Freeman, and Quenton Miller. These are guys that they had to open up the checkbook to get that the public couldn't care less about at the moment. On August 19th, 2008 the Pirates have a losing record and are likely looking at a losing record in 2009, but they were looking at the same thing on August 19th, 2007, and they were looking at it with only Andrew McCutchen and a bunch of flotsom in the minor leagues.

Of course it's too early to declare the Pirates to be resurrected. Huntington's still a raw GM with some big moves ahead of him. Nutting still has to open the pursestrings up for at least one or two more big drafts (however many it is that we're picking at the top and necessitated to dole out huge bonuses like we did this year), and he has to follow through on his promise to increase payroll when the situation demands it like the Brewers recently have. Even if everything goes perfectly, it's no guarantee of success. The Indians are a well-run franchise in a similar market that have made the playoffs once in the past few years. The Brewers are a similar team still trying to get there for the first time. The A's are in a constant state of flux, the D'Backs' young hitters aren't coming around, and the Rays have suffered a slew of injuries during their first pennant race. There are a lot of things that can and will go wrong between today and when the Pirates hang a pennant at PNC Park, but for the first time in a long time I feel like there are people in place who might be able to deal with those things.

Monday, August 18, 2008

Game 125: Pirates 5 Mets 2

At one point this afternoon, I imagine that a lot of you were in the same boat that I was: sitting at work with the game on the radio wondering just how long it would be before this team ever scored a run again. After being shut out by Johan Santana yesterday, we were being shut down by a wildly erratic John Maine and the Mets' subpar bullpen this afternoon until Adam LaRoche sent a bomb to the top of the grandstand in right field and tied the game up at 2.

At that point, the weird set of circumstantial happenings that often surrounds baseball games started to take over. Steve Pearce hasn't hit much of anything in Pittsburgh or Indianapolis this year, yet when faced with the second hugely clutch situation against the Mets for the second time on the second straight Monday afternoon, he delivered his second huge hit; this time it was a bases loaded single to give the Pirates a 3-2 lead. When Jack Wilson doubled in two more runs, it was apparent that Sean Burnett would pick up his first win since 2004, a season in which he won the first five decisions of his career. For the rest of this year, we should probably get used to wins coming from unexpectedly places.

Getaway

For the second straight Monday the Pirates and Mets are playing a 12:35 game, with this one at PNC. Paul Maholm will attempt to engage John Maine in a pitcher's duel in order for the Pirates to have a chance and the Pirates offense will attempt to score runs in order to prevent Paul Maholm from going insane. Steve Pearce and Jason Michaels get the starts at the corner outfield slots today with Moss down with his ankle injury, but DK thinks he'll be back by the weekend and not need the DL, which is good news.

Quick Links

I was going to write up a post for the people still unconvinced by Huntington's first year about why I like what he's done, but Wilbur Miller's already done the job nicely at Only Bucs.

WHYGAVS reader and former Air Force DJ Samy Fineman is in the finals for MLB.com's "Rookie Reporter" contest. The contest starts in a week and you can vote for him here.

I've been keeping an eye on all the players we traded for the in the past couple weeks, but I'm particularly interested in Jose Tabata because he's certainly the wild card of the eight. He's hitting .359/.390/.513 in Altoona so far. It's only nine games, of course, but it's certainly encouraging given all of the negative things we heard about him at the time of the trade.

Sunday, August 17, 2008

Game 123: Mets 4 Pirates 0

The match-up of one of the better pitchers in the last ten years against a young team full of players trying to establish themselves in the Major Leageus is really a bad recipe. Unsurprisingly, Johan Santana tossed a three-hitter at the Pirates today with relative ease and only the LaRoche brothers standing in the way of a no-no for him at PNC Park today. Jeff Karstens acquitted himself decently but unspectacularly in a start that I think will resemble his Pirate career much more than the first two starts he made in black and gold. Games (and actually, series) like these are necessary lumps that the Pirates are going to be taking for the rest of this year and probably next year as the rebuilding process continues.

There was one other side plot to this game that I thought was interesting. If you still needed evidence that the new management is not high on Steve Pearce, today's game should've been plenty to make that clear. With the dominant lefty Santana on the mound, Russell chose to start Brandon Moss in left and Jason Michaels in right, leaving Pearce on the bench. Starting the left-handed Moss over the right-handed Pearce against a pitcher like Santana is sending a pretty clear message. As you probably saw, Moss left early with a sprained ankle, although it doesn't appear to be nearly as bad as it seemed at first. That's probably a good thing because if Moss does need to go on the DL, it's probably going to be Nyjer Morgan time again in Pittsburgh.

Karstens gets another tough draw

In his fourth start for the Pirates, after starting against Edinson Volquez and Randy Johnson, Jeff Karstens gets another fun draw in the form of Johan Santana and the New York Mets. Do not let Santana's average-looking record and the wails of the pundits fool you, he's been very good this year and the Mets simply aren't scoring runs for him while their bullpen has blown an obscene amount of leads for him (think Kip Wells in 2003 before his implosion). He's not the same pitcher that won the two Cy Young Awards with the Twins, but he's still one of the best pitchers in the National League. Anyways, this one's certainly worth paying attention to, if only to watch Santana and to see how Jeff Karstens fairs while teams continue to adjust to him in the National League.

Saturday, August 16, 2008

The other Pedro

Now that the draft deadline has passed and Pedro Alvarez is officially inked, there comes the realization that there's still forty games left to play this year. Forty? Geez, that seems like a lot. Tonight it's Pedro Martinez against Zach Duke with Nate leading off, back to back LaRoches, and Steve Pearce in the outfield.

You don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows

You could have probably guessed this from the tone of the posting last night, but I'm pretty excited by the events of the last week or so. There's a number of reasons why and I think that the reasons to be excited run a lot deeper than most people realize, so I'm going to try and lay them out here in a coherent and non-giddy fashion. Wish me luck.

Pedro Alvarez is a very impressive young talent. By now you've probably seen the YouTube highlight reel and it's impressive. The kid has a left-handed power swing that I can only describe as "textbook." His stock was hurt a bit by his hand injury, but by all accounts it shouldn't be a long-term issue. He strikes me as the kind of talent that's not available in the draft every year and the kind of talent that the Pirates haven't had in their minor league system in years. Taken entirely on his own, the fact that Pedro Alvarez is a Pirate is something that's completely worth being excited about.

Beyond that, though, there's many other good things bubbling under the surface for the Pirates. They managed to convince Robby Grossman, who some had pegged as a low first-round talent, to sign instead of going to Texas when many people were certain he was going to Texas. When Tanner Scheppers' workout didn't go well, the Pirates made him a final offer and took the remaining money they might've spent on Scheppers and signed another high-upside guy that everyone had pegged for college, Quinton Miller.

I've joked that the Pirates signed more talent in this draft than they did in seven of Littlefield's drafts but the truth is that there's no way to truly determine that two months after the draft took place. What this draft had, however, was vision. There was a contingency plan in case Scheppers' didn't work out. There was a plan to sign Grossman that you could see develop as he went from unlikely to sign to "50-50" to a Pittsburgh Pirate. It doesn't take a brilliant scout to see the talent in Pedro Alvarez, but the Pirates spent nearly four million dollars signing their other picks in this draft.

When people point at the payroll and wonder why it's so low, this is exactly why. Six million dollars spent on signing Pedro Alvarez is immensely better than $7 million spent on Jeromy Burnitz. The money has to go into building a foundation before it can go into the major league team. That's what was exciting about this draft: Pedro Alvarez may very well turn into a great player, but one great player isn't what's going to change the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Pirates needed an entire organizational makeover when Huntington and Coonelly took over a year ago and while they still have a long ways to go, it finally seems like they're moving in the right direction.

Pedro Alvarez signs

This swing is now property of the Pittsburgh Pirates (sent by Emma):

Friday, August 15, 2008

The Pedro Alvarez post

Dejan says that there's no news to report and that none of Boras's clients have done anything yet, which is how Boras operates. Rocco DeMaro on 104.7 says a deal is done and he supposedly had the Grossman and Miller news before anyone else. I'll be keeping an eye on it and posting updates as they come in. And no, I'm still not worried that he's not going to sign.

11:03- Dejan says there's absolutely not a deal yet. But he uses the word "yet."

11:24- I've been almost positive from the start that Alvarez is going to sign and I still feel that way, but is this waiting killing anyone else?

11:46- Important to note that the midnight deadline is going to be like the trade deadline. If the deal happens close to midnight, we're going to be the last people to know. There's no news until someone can either confirm that he did or didn't sign.

12:07- This is getting pretty intense. Still no word, if you're new to the game.

12:15- With Dejan's blog down (again ... the PG should be embarassed), keep an eye on Baseball America's draft blog.

12:26- The BA blog looks like it's down to. We're breakin ur innernetz.

12:30- BA blog back up. Got through to DK's blog, but he says no one knows anything yet.

12:36- BA says Scheppers doesn't sign. No big surprise, not a big deal. They're waiting on both Alvarez and Hosmer like everyone else.

12:38- HE SIGNED!!!! WOOOOOOO!L;ADJSFG;LASF;AS;LDFJKL;SDFL;KAFS

12:40-
Terms, per DK- $6 million bonus plus college. No big league deal. Fantastic work by Huntington, again.

All eyes on Pedro

It's a funny dichotomy set up tonight by the dual dramas of the impending signing deadline and Collective Soul (who apparently still exists). There will be 35,000+ people in PNC Park tonight and there's a good chance that while they may watch the game and cheer for the Pirates, 20,000 of them have no idea that the most important event in the Pirate universe will not be taking place on the field, but rather in the offices as Neal Huntington and Frank Coonelly negotiate with Scott Boras and Pedro Alvarez.

On the field, taking the back seat to both Collective Soul (still can't believe I'm typing that) and Pedro Alvarez will be Jason Davis in his second and maybe one of his last starts for the Bucs, while Mike Pelfrey toes the rubber for the Mets. If I'm around, I'll post updates on the Alvarez situation as they happen. I probably won't be around all night, though, and if that looks like the case then head to the PBC blog as DK will be on the case until the clock strikes 12.

The Signing Deadline- daytime hours

I'm actually going to be pretty busy at work today, but if/when people sign this afternoon, I'll post the links up to the news and try to give some quick analysis as fast as I can. I doubt the big news will be coming until some time late this evening, but I think that's pretty hard to gauge given how little we all know about the negotiations to this point.

Drew Gagnon- Looks like the high upside pitching prospect we took in the tenth round is going to school, according to the Trib. There's a quote from Huntington there that makes it seem pretty definitive that he's going to attend Long Beach State and not sign with the Pirates. It's disappointing, but the nature of the baseball draft is that not everyone can be signed. Hat-tip to anon in the comments for passing this along last night.

3:06 PM- DK's following along at his blog. Things sound ugly on the Scheppers' front, which I'm OK with since Dejan mentions shoulder surgery and makes it sound like his shoulder problems are far from being resolved. If he's not healthy, he's not worth close to the money he's asking for, end of story. As for Alvarez, everyone is disputing the San Jose Mercury News story from yesterday about Posey's $7.5 million bonus, except for the San Jose Mercury News who seems to think that Boras and Posey's agent are in a pissing contest over who gets paid more. Dejan thinks it's strange that agents would be talking with each other instead of the teams they're negotiating with. I kind of agree with that, though I don't believe for a second that Pedro Alvarez is going to get anything less than the biggest signing bonus in this draft.

4:07 PM- More good news literally just in from DK's blog: the Pirates have signed 20th round pick Quinton Miller. WTM's writeup is here, and he speculates that he's someone the Pirates would target if Scheppers isn't an option. Seems like a very good signing for the 20th round, even if it means I won't get to watch him pitch here in Chapel Hill when they open the new baseball stadium. The Bucs are now up to 31 of 50 signings, including several of the "hard-to-sign" guys.

Thursday, August 14, 2008

Frank and Scott

Jeff Passan has an interesting article up over at Yahoo! about the relationship between Frank Coonelly and Scott Boras and how he thinks Coonelly's old job as the slotting system watchdog is affecting the Pedro Alvarez situation. If you haven't taken the time to read it yet, you should probably head over there and do so before you read the rest of this post.

Coonelly's a hard guy to get a read on, and this article doesn't change that. He didn't talk to Passan at all for it, so everything that's said about him is either in someone else's words or strongly implied by Passan. I've joked that Coonelly's ship is run tighter than a papal conclave, but I'm no longer certain that I'm joking when I say that. If the man doesn't want us to know something, we won't know it. That being said, there's one question that Passan asks early in the article that is very easily answered:

What’s more important: The sanctity of something he helped build with the sport’s best interests in mind, or the success of the team he’s trying to rescue from years of mismanagement?
Helloooooo first round money for a sixth-round pick! Seriously, if Grossman's $1 million signing bonus doesn't answer the questions about whether Coonelly's work enforcing the slot money is going to carry over into his role as Pirates' CEO, norhing is ever going to answer those questions. This isn't Passan's fault since it happened after his story went up, but it's certainly relevant.

The other thing from the story that I find fascinating and relevant to the conversation is this passage right here:

Coonelly is learning the complexities of running a team, and that’s a good thing. Some baseball insiders see him as a strong candidate to be baseball’s next commissioner and regard running the Pirates as a management apprenticeship that would complement his labor expertise.
I've seen a lot of disbelief on the internets today that Coonelly's a commissioner-in-waiting, but you won't see any from me. I know that when he was hired, I read in at least one place that he's angling for baseball's top job down the road. Having seen the guy in action for a year, it seems pretty obvious to me that he's an ambitious guy and I doubt his career goal is CEO of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Given the jobs he's held in the past, it makes perfect sense to me that he'd take this job as a stepping stone to being Bud's replacement.

But what does that mean? I guess it's possible that Coonelly might be trying to curry favor with the owners by making a stand against Boras, but if Coonelly's true goal is to become the commish, it seems much more likely to me that he wants the feather in his cap to be rebuilding one of the worst franchises in baseball. Making a stand against Boras for a political point seems like a stupid thing to do to me, especially because it would be an incredibly unpopular move with the Pittsburgh public.

The part of the story that concerns me the most when it comes to signing Alvarez is the implication that Boras and Coonelly have a testy personal relationship. If there's one thing that can derail this negotiation, it's a petty personal feud between the equally egotistic Coonelly and Boras. It's hard to know how much there is to something like that because neither man is particularly willing to talk to the press about stuff like this.

The bottom line is that Alvarez signing with the Pirates is best for everyone involved. It's best for Frank Coonelly because he's a huge talent that will vastly improve the Pittsburgh Pirates. It's best for Pedro Alvarez because whatever he signs for will likely be more than he could make next year and because sitting out a year sets his career back unnecessarily a year, and it's best for Scott Boras because it's best for best for Pedro Alvarez. Alvarez signing is still the outcome that makes the most sense and it's still what I think is going to happen.

Game 121: Reds 3 Pirates 1

Sometimes, it's exceptionally obvious that two terrible baseball teams are battling things out on the diamond. I think tonight was one of those nights. Johnny Cueto didn't strike me as all that impressive tonight, but he had our hitters lunging at sliders that were way out of the zone all night long and K'd seven flailing Pirates in five innings. Ian Snell, meanwhile, looked just about as bad as he has since coming off of the DL, but the Reds only managed 2 runs out of the 11 guys he put on base in his six innings. It was really a pretty ugly game for such a low-scoring affair.

The first night of the great LaRoche experiment was pretty ugly, as well. With the bases loaded and no outs in a 2-1 game in the seventh, Adam gave PNC park one of his typical April strikeouts against Bill Bray, then Andy hit into a double play against Gary Majewski. I seriously think I heard Gene Collier cackle all the way down here in Chapel Hill.

Cueto and Snell

If Ian Snell's planning on getting back on track at all before the season ends, tonight against the Reds would be a good time to start it. We've documented the Reds' struggles already, but there's a nice chance tonight as the Pirates have had some luck against Reds' starter Johnny Cueto this year and they're getting Adam LaRoche back from the disabled list to hopefully provide a spark. That means that our modern Big Poison/Little Poison will be in effect tonight and might even bat back-to-back, depending on what JR wants to do with the lineup. There'll be a full crowd there tonight, but it's going to be there for REO Speedwagon and not the Pirates. That's right, REO Speedwagon apparently still exists. Where's Donny Iris?

Sabean strikes again

You may have seen the news today that the Pirates were not planning on offering Pedro Alvarez a major league contract. With the way the signings were going, it looked like they could probably ink Pedro for a $6-$7 million bonus sometime tomorrow. Yeah, that's not happening. The fifth overall pick, college catcher Buster Posey, signed on the dotted line with the Giants today for a big league deal and a $7.5 million contract. Obviously I don't know the particulars, but I'd be shocked if Boras and Alvarez even consider signing for anything less than what Posey signed for.

TANGENTIAL UPDATE: Grossman signs. This is awesome news.

More: You can read more about him here, but Baseball America had him as a top 50 prospect this year and he's a very high ceiling guy for a sixth round pick because he dropped pretty sharply for signability reasons. In the first link, DK speculates that he's going to cost somewhere close to a million dollars to sign, which tells you just how highly the Pirates think of this guy. Signing Alvarez is what everyone has been focusing on in this draft, but signing guys like Grossman and having a deep draft is every bit as important to the future of the team. If you wanted proof that this new front office is going to operate differently than the old one, it's staring you right in the face now.

LaRoche Is Back; Bautista Gone

Some surprising news after the game last night; Jose Bautista is going to be demoted to AAA to make room for Adam LaRoche to come off of the disabled list. There are several points in the PG's story about this that make you stop and pause for a second. One is the part where Bautista opines that he hasn't gotten a fair chance to prove he can play. Another is here Neal Huntington doesn't say that Bautista is definitely getting a September call-up. As the year wears on, it gets easier and easier to tell the players that the previous administration was fond of that he doesn't have the time of day for. The part of the story that made me pause the most? Jose Bautista's agent is named Bean Stringfellow. Seriously.

And while we're on the news kick: Justin Wilson signed before the game last night. Of all of our high picks, he seems like the least impressive to me. Still, he's the 29th pick to sign with two days left until the deadline. Signing 30+ guys from a deep draft would be a pretty impressive feat for Huntington's first year on the job, I think.

Wednesday, August 13, 2008

Game 120: Pirates 5 Reds 2

When Paul Maholm gave up a home run to Corey Patterson in the third inning, I was a bit worried that we were in for some kind of horrifically weird night. Instead, tonight's game was pretty much what was expected. Maholm cruised through eight easy innings, allowing only Patterson's homer and one to Jay Bruce (who's got "future Pirate-killer written all over him). Josh Fogg mostly worked quickly and got outs except in the fourth, when the Pirates hung a four-spot up on him with a homer from Jason Michaels (can we please start calling him HBK and stop calling him J-Mike? Please?) and a two-run double from Ryan Doumit (which hit a fan leaning over the railing in front of the seats that I will always call "my seats" no matter where I live). Brandon Moss added a long home run to center field in the eighth to seal up a pretty painless and quck Pirate win. On a bit of a random tangent, as Moss was at the plate I was closing up a particularly bizarre Wikipedia binge at this page and I think that "Bone Crusher" would be a bad ass nickname for someone. Someone like Brandon Moss.

Anyways, the key from tonight is that Josh Fogg didn't add to his PNC Park record 20 victories. That's good, because even though I like Fogg it's awfully sad that he's the all-time Park leader in victories and having him add to it tonight would only prolong the amount of time that he holds the record. Help us Paul Maholm, you're our only hope.

Also: I know the comments are kind of sketchy right now, but Haloscan is probably the thing I have the least control over on this blog. Just keep plugging away and hopefully the problems will work themselves out.

Foggy

Looks like Adam LaRoche is going to spend one more day in Hickory before rejoining the team. Since he's been smoking the ball on his rehab assignment, I wonder if the Pirates aren't taking an extra day to trade and trade someone (probably Obi-Wan) to make the roster room for LaRoche. I guess he's only been in Hickory for two games, but it doesn't seem like there's anything wrong with him.

As for the actual game tonight, Josh Fogg is facing off against Paul Maholm. He's been doing his Josh Fogg thing much more poorly this year than in the past, with an ERA of almost 8.00 in almost 60 innings. He's spent some time hurt, though, so I suppose that's affected him a bit. He's been alternating good and bad starts for about three weeks and he's coming off of a good one, but he's also been pretty dominant at home this year and the Reds aren't mounting much of a lineup against him. If Fogg hits a groove, this might be a quick game.

WHYGAVS/Bucs Dugout Crossover: Future Expectations

Today, Charlie and I tackle the eight players acquired at the trade deadline by the Pirates. We're not concerned with whether or not the trades were good trades, because that's been discussed ad nauseum to this point. Instead, we're focusing on the eight new players that the Pirates acquired and what we're expecting from them down the road. Check out the full conversation at Bucs Dugout and if you're looking for the first crossover, check the label below.

The internet is a scary, scary place

The Dodgers are having Joe Beimel Bobblehead Night tonight. That is not a typo. Joe Beimel, the awful lefty that pitched for the Pirates from 2001-2003. Joe Beimel, the only Duquesne Duke to play in in the major leagues since 1970. And not only does he have a bobblehead night, but there's a tribute video made of him on YouTube called, "The Legend of Joe Beimel." I'm not even close to kidding. I'm actually kind of speechless. Just see for yourself:


Via Big League Stew